Rounds Still Leads in U.S. Senate Race But Pressler Gaining
New polling conducted this week shows increasing support for independent U.S. Senate candidate Larry Presser at the expense of Republican Mike Rounds and Democrat Rick Weiland.
The poll was conducted by Nielson Brothers Polling and sponsored in part by Northern Plains News.
And if Weiland dropped out of the race, Pressler and Rounds would be in a virtual dead heat. If Pressler dropped out, Weiland would be within striking distance of Rounds.
Nonetheless, Rounds, the former Republican South Dakota governor, continues to lead his three challengers by double digits in the race for the U.S. Senate.
If Weiland withdrew, 40 percent would vote for Rounds, 39 percent would vote for Pressler, and 8 percent would vote for Howie. 11 percent are undecided and 3 percent say they will not vote in the race.
The numbers show Pressler with the broadest support among parties, consisting of 46 percent Republican, 38 percent Democratic, and 14 percent independent or other. Round’s support breaks down to 83 percent Republican, 10 percent Democratic, and 7 percent I/O. Weiland’s support is 71 percent Democratic, 12 percent Republican and 18 percent I/O. Howie’s is 53 percent Republican, 30 percent Democratic and 17 percent I/O.
A difference is also apparent when NBP/NPN asked about ideological self-identification. In the latest survey, 39 percent identified with conservatives, 30 percent with moderates, 17 percent with the tea party, and 15 percent with liberals.
Thirty-five percent of respondents had not heard of EB-5. Over one-third—37.4 percent—had a negative view of the matter, while 14.3 percent had a favorable view and 13.3 percent were unsure.
Questions, response numbers (%), and margins of error (MOE):
647 responses; 3.24 percent MOE.
Mike Rounds: 39.4
Rick Weiland: 25.7
Larry Pressler: 23.7
Gordon Howie: 3.6
Undecided: 7.2
If Larry Pressler ended his U.S. Senate candidacy would you vote for Democrat Rick Weiland, Republican Mike Rounds, or Independent Gordon Howie?
636 responses; 3.27 percent MOE.
Mike Rounds: 45.4
Rick Weiland: 37.1
Gordon Howie: 7.2
Undecided: 8.7
Will not vote in this race: 1.6
If Rick Weiland ended his U.S. Senate candidacy would you vote for Republican Mike Rounds, Independent Larry Pressler, or Independent Gordon Howie?
623 responses; 3.30 percent MOE.
Mike Rounds: 40.4
Larry Pressler: 38.7
Gordon Howie: 7.8
Undecided: 10.7
Will not vote in this race: 2.5
If you have heard of EB5 do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of it?
Will EB5 affect or have no affect on your vote for US Senate?